Property Prospects - Deal Dashboard

Auction pipeline | Leighton Buzzard + surrounds | Budget under £250K | Deep-dived 08-07-2026, ranked best-first | LUTON RULED OUT 08-07

3
Bid-Worthy
£125K
Best Uplift (Lancaster)
14 Jul
Savills: Guttmann (6 days)
5 Aug
R&H: Top 2 Lots
How to read: ARV = done-up value, size-adjusted from recorded GBP/sqm comps (floor plans measured, EPCs pulled from the gov register 08-07). Rent = realistic MID pcm. Yield = gross on guide; net of service charge where marked. Uplift = ARV minus guide, before works/fees/SDLT. Every card has a VERDICT + max bid. All Luton lots removed per decision 08-07.

Bid-Worthy - ranked best first

1
7 Lancaster Avenue, Bedford MK42 9SE
3-bed bay-fronted semi, 86-91 sqm, through lounge, garage + car port, big plot, enlarge side AND rear STP FREEHOLD EPC D TOP PICK
£180K+
Guide
Freehold
Tenure
91 sqm
EPC size
£1,500
Admin fee
5 Aug
R&H 12:00
Band C
Council tax
£305K
ARV post-refurb
£1,600
Rent pcm
10.7%
Gross yield
£125K
Uplift pre-costs
Floor plan analysed: GF 45.6 sqm (dining 3.8x3.5, kitchen 4.2x2.0, lounge 3.8x3.5, shower room) + FF 40.7 sqm (beds 3.8x3.5 / 3.5x3.4 / 2.5x2.0, bathroom) = 86.3 sqm plan / 91 sqm EPC. Comps EPC-verified: 21 Lancaster Ave (87 sqm) £295K in 2021 = £3,391/sqm -> £293-309K on subject size. Condition: dated and poor per agent, but cosmetic - blown render on rear extension, damp-stained bathroom plaster, no structural wording.
VERDICT - BID. Budget £40-50K full refurb, all-in ~£230K vs £305K ARV. Watch-outs: asbestos garage roof (removal quote before bidding), blown rear render (damp check at viewing), the £460K street comp is a data anomaly - ignore it. Max bid £210K, target £180-195K. Open-house viewing end of July - book it.
2
5 Guttmann Road, Aylesbury HP21 9PA
2-bed semi HOUSE, 72-73 sqm, cavity wall (standard construction CONFIRMED via EPC register), gas CH, vacant, parking FREEHOLD LIVE CONFIRMED
£150K
Guide
Freehold
Tenure
73 sqm
GIA (plan+EPC)
EPC D
Gas CH
14 Jul
Savills Lot 103
Vacant
Status
£230K
ARV post-refurb
£1,300
Rent pcm
10.4%
Gross yield
£80K
Uplift pre-costs
Floor plan analysed: kitchen-diner 4.58x3.11, lounge 3.51x4.70, bed1 4.63x3.05, bed2 3.60x2.92 = 73 sqm plan / 72 sqm EPC (ignore Zoopla's 85). Construction fear killed: EPC register says standard insulated cavity wall - NOT Wimpey No-Fines/Airey/BISF. 1990s/2000s-style brick. Condition: stripped floors, part-removed wallpaper - pure cosmetic. Comps caveat: no street sales exist; nearest sqm comps are FLATS (£2,038-2,147/sqm) - house comps (28 Harvey Rd £200K dated Feb-25, modernised 2-beds £277-290K) support ~£230K done.
VERDICT - BID. The 14-07 play now Luton is out. Refurb £15-20K, all-in ~£170K vs £230K ARV. Confirm buyer's premium in the pack (not shown on page) and exact lot day (14 or 15 Jul). Max bid £165K, target £150-160K. Pull the legal pack NOW - 6 days.
3
5 Church Walk, Harrold MK43 7DG
Period cottage, 65 sqm CONFIRMED (plan + EPC agree) - NOW A 1-BED (wall removed from original 2-bed), GF bathroom, roof terrace FREEHOLD EPC F - CANNOT BE LET AS-IS
£125K+
Guide
Freehold
Tenure
65 sqm
GIA confirmed
EPC F
Unlettable as-is
5 Aug
R&H 12:00
£1,500
Admin fee
£235K
ARV restored as 2-bed
£1,175
Rent pcm (as 2-bed)
11.3%
Gross yield
£110K
Uplift pre-costs
Floor plan analysed: GF 38.4 sqm (lounge 4.4x3.4 w/ fireplace, dining 3.6x2.6, kitchen 2.7x2.0, bathroom) + FF 26.5 sqm = ONE huge 6.0x4.4m bedroom (the removed wall) + roof terrace. Reinstating the stud wall = cheap 2-bed again. Comps EPC-verified: next door 3 Church Walk (68 sqm, 2-bed) £255K Nov-23 = £3,750/sqm; village 2-beds £3,015-3,367/sqm -> £196-244K at 65 sqm. EPC F specifics: electric-only (no mains gas), wall insulation quoted £7.5-11K, modelled heating £3,180/yr.
VERDICT - BID ONLY WITH EYES OPEN. Real works bill: refurb £30-40K + EPC F-to-E/C works ~£10K + wall reinstatement = ~£45-50K, and you CANNOT let it until EPC E+, so bridge-then-refi (30A playbook). Check in pack: conservation area/listing (Church Walk has Grade I church + a Grade II cottage - unconfirmed for No.5), flat-roof terrace waterproofing (weeds in the joints), flood check (village ford nearby). All-in ~£175K vs £235K ARV. Max bid £135K.

Only If Cheap - ranked by margin at max bid

4
80 Hastoe Park, Aylesbury HP20 2AA
CONFIRMED 1-BED (not 2), 2nd floor, 44 sqm (plan), balcony + GARAGE, block of 6, well-presented - no refurb needed LEASE LENGTH STILL UNDISCLOSED WAS LET AT £12,600/YR
£95K+
Guide
? yrs
Lease - PACK
44 sqm
GIA (plan)
£2,496
SC+GR /yr
5 Aug
R&H 12:00
EPC C
Fresh 03-26
£128K
Value (1-bed, done)
£1,050
Rent pcm (ACTUAL passing)
10.6%
Yield net of SC+GR
£33K
Uplift pre-costs
Deep-dive resolution: agent's own floor plan and text confirm ONE bedroom (3.84x3.71m) - the 2-bed assumption is dead. Three floor-area figures exist (EPC 40 / plan 44.1 / Land Registry 50 sqm) - plan is most credible. The subject itself sold £137.5K in 2021 (at 50 sqm recorded); estate comps £2,750-3,043/sqm -> £121-134K at 44 sqm. Condition is GOOD (fresh decor, no works needed) and it genuinely rented at £12,600/yr. EPC C freshly assessed Mar-26. The single open item is the lease length - undisclosed anywhere.
VERDICT - PACK FIRST, THEN BID MODESTLY. Turn-key: no works, real rent history, fresh EPC C. If the lease is 100+ yrs: max bid £105K (all-in £106.5K vs £128K value, 10.6% net-of-charges on actual rent). If lease is short, re-run the numbers. Confirm vacant possession (was tenanted). Best of the "cheap" tier because it needs zero work.
5
Chequers Court, Aylesbury HP21 9EQ
1-bed FF flat, 38.28 sqm (plan) - SMALLER than every comp (41-47 sqm) 50 YEAR LEASE "SHARE OF FREEHOLD" CLAIM - VERIFY, FLIPS THE VERDICT
£80K
Guide MMoA
50 yrs
Lease
38.3 sqm
GIA (plan)
£1,224
SC/yr (GR £0)
EPC D
62/100
£6,949
MMoA fees
£125K
True ARV (size-adj)
£875
Rent pcm
11.6%
Yield net of SC
£45K
Uplift pre ext+fees
Deep-dive correction: earlier £145K ARV used the same-block comps at face value - but they are 41-47 sqm and this is 38.28 sqm, needing full modernisation (carpeted kitchen, stripped walls). Size-adjusted: 38.28 x £3,085-3,537/sqm = £118-135K, call £125K done. Key finding: listing says BOTH "Leasehold 50 yrs" AND "Share of freehold" - if share of freehold is real, the extension is near-free and this jumps into the bid-worthy tier; if not, budget ~£20-25K premium + costs (marriage value applies at 50 yrs).
VERDICT - ONLY CHEAP. At guide: £80K + £6,949 fees + ~£22K extension + £12K refurb = £121K for a £125K flat. Nothing in it. Works at agreed £60-65K. FIRST ACTION: one call to Brown & Merry to resolve the share-of-freehold question.
6
Lenborough Road, Buckingham MK18 1DH
1-bed top-floor flat, probably Flat 6 The Old Maltings, ~67 sqm (expired EPC) - full-size, not micro 61 YEAR LEASE GUIDE JUST REDUCED
£73K
Guide (reduced)
61 yrs
Lease
~67 sqm
Size (unverified)
GR TBC
Undisclosed
28 Jul
B.Marcus 09:00
£1,800
Doc fee
£125K
ARV (same-block basis)
£925
Rent pcm
15.2%
Gross yield
£52K
Uplift pre-costs
Deep-dive correction: earlier £155K ARV leaned on Iver Court comps - a newer, better block (£2,767-3,700/sqm). The same-block comp is 2 The Old Maltings: 76 sqm 2-bed for £115K in 2018 (£1,513/sqm) - a much more modest block. Size-adjusted ARV: 67 sqm x ~£1,700-2,000 = £115-135K. Good news: ~67 sqm is a proper 1-bed. Kitchen dated but sound. NO floor plan published, EPC on register EXPIRED 2019, council tax band conflicts (B vs D), GR undisclosed - and one source hinted "sold", so confirm live before the 28th.
VERDICT - ONLY CHEAP. £73K + £1.8K + ~£16K extension + £8-10K refurb = ~£99K vs £125K ARV = ~£26K margin. Fine, not fat. Max bid £75K. Ring Barnard Marcus: confirm live, get the flat number, GR terms and lease pack.
7
Wycliffe End (Shelley House), Aylesbury HP19 7XE
2-bed in a 150-unit ex-social regeneration block (built ~1979), 24hr security hub 85 YR LEASE NO FLOOR AREA PUBLISHED FEES ~11%
£90K
Guide
85 yrs
Lease
~64 sqm?
Assumed, not measured
£2,368
SC/yr (GR £10)
Online
Pattinson
EPC C
80/100
£120K
ARV post-refurb
£1,225
Rent pcm
13.7%
Yield net of SC
£30K
Uplift pre-costs
Deep-dive findings: block identified from signage as SHELLEY HOUSE (Vale of Aylesbury Housing Trust branding). Same-block solds: 26 Shelley Hse (64 sqm) £125K and 8 Shelley Hse (67 sqm) £110K, both 2015; development benchmark 8 Enid Blyton (69 sqm) £125K Jan-26 = £1,812/sqm. NO dimensions or total area published for this lot - size assumed at the dev norm 61-69 sqm. Fee stack: 5% non-refundable deposit PLUS reservation fee up to 6% (min £7,200) = ~11% on top. Possible damp staining by a window. Ex-social block - check lender private-ownership % rules.
VERDICT - YIELD PLAY ONLY, AND ONLY CHEAP. The 17.3% headline died with the £2,368 SC disclosure - net 13.7% at guide, decent but the exit is capped (£120-125K ceiling, ex-social block). At £90K + £7.2K fees + £12K refurb = £109K vs £120K ARV. Max agreed £78K. Get the exact flat number + measured floor area before anything.
8
1 Church Lees, Great Linford, Milton Keynes MK14 5EB
1-bed end-terrace bungalow, 47 sqm / 504 sqft (plan found buried in photo gallery), vacant FREEHOLD CEILING COLLAPSE IN PHOTOS
£85K
Guide
Freehold
Tenure
47 sqm
GIA (plan)
No EPC
See pack
14 Jul
Savills Lot 41
LIVE
Confirmed
£130K
ARV post-works (size-adj)
£950
Rent pcm
13.4%
Gross yield
£45K
Uplift pre-works
Deep-dive correction: earlier £170K ARV was not size-adjusted - the type-match comp (104 Gibbwin, £160K 2022) is 56 sqm vs this at 47 sqm. Adjusted: £115-134K, call £130K. The photos are worse than the wording: kitchen CEILING COLLAPSED (joists + insulation hanging), diagonal lounge wall crack, ceiling breached to a shared roof void. Bedroom walls look re-lined and intact - damage may be localised roof failure rather than movement, but that is a photo guess, not a survey. No EPC on record; legal pack behind Savills login; buyer fee unpublished.
VERDICT - ONLY CHEAP + SURVEYED. Works realistically £25-40K+ once a roof is involved: all-in at guide ~£115-125K for a £130K ARV = no margin for the structural risk. Only bid if the pack reveals the defect + quote, and the room lets it go at ~£65-70K max. 6 days is tight for an engineer - probably one to watch pass unless it sticks and reappears.

Skip / Dead

9
LUTON - ALL LOTS RULED OUT 08-07
Decision: nothing in Luton. Removed: 154 New Town St (was ranked #2), 31B Stanley St (was the pre-auction offer play), Flat 5 Dumfries St, Swanston Grange, 134 Copenhagen Close. Not to be re-listed.
10
Parkwood Drive, Hemel Hempstead HP1 2LD
Studio, tenant in situ SIZE UNVERIFIABLE + TENANCY UNDISCLOSED
SKIP. Floor plan published with ZERO dimensions (street stock is 30-32 sqm - right on the lender floor-area threshold, unverifiable for this unit); flat number withheld; NO rent passing, AST terms or arrears disclosed despite the tenant staying; hoarder-level clutter hides real condition; EPC E dated 2012; GR review "unconfirmed"; newest size-recorded street comp is 2017. MMoA fees £6,949 on top. Buying at £90K+ with an unknown tenancy is buying blind. Only revisit with tenancy docs + measured plan and a price starting with a 6.
11
26 Priory Heights, Church Street, Dunstable LU5 4RQ
2-bed, 4th floor, 103yr lease, £19K guide CLADDING BLOCK - CASH ONLY
£19K mystery ANSWERED: converted former tax office with a 2023 First-Tier Tribunal finding of COMBUSTIBLE HPL CLADDING + fire-stopping works (case CAM/00KC/HIN/2022/0006). BSA protections likely shield leaseholders from the works bill, but remediation is unresolved and the block is cash-buyer-only (recent sales all auction/cash: 2-bed £70.9K Feb-26, 1-bed £105K Nov-25). Guide history £80K -> £60K withdrawn -> £19K. Cash-basis value ~£75K, rent ~£900. UTH online 15-07. Only for cash you can park indefinitely; pack + addendum + insurance position first.
12
35A Church Street, Leighton Buzzard LU7 1HA
1-bed above the hair salon, 27.8 sqm, 999-yr lease on completion ONLY AT £70-75K AGREED
Deep-dived 08-07: true ARV £85-105K (same-street per-sqm: 70B = 63sqm £163.5K 2024; No.1 = 72sqm £155K 2023), rent £750-800, three permanent discounts (sub-30 sqm, above shop, EPC E electric). At £90K guide + £6.6K MMoA fee = full value. Max agreed £70-75K; above £75K walk. Pack: repair/insurance with £1 SC, loft demise, 999-yr grant unconditional.
13
Dead pool - verified gone or never real
63 Townsend Grove + 42 Albert Rd (SOLD PRIOR, Savills) | 7B Market Sq Buckingham (sold 01-07 £44K as a 1-bed, Grade II) | 21 Greenfield Rd Pulloxhill (data mismatch - actually a £325-365K 4-bed) | EIG teasers LU5/LU2 22-07 (addresses paywalled)

Watch List

W1
22 Clarence Road, LEIGHTON BUZZARD LU7 3EJ
3-bed end-terrace refurb SOLD OCT-25 £222K - WATCH FOR THE FLIP
Status corrected 08-07: Land Registry shows the Oct-25 Savills auction completed at £222,000 (not withdrawn). Off the market, but gold comp data: unmodernised £222K vs same-street refurbished £290-315.5K (extended £360K). Rent £1,250-1,475. If the buyer flips it on, the maths are pre-done.
W2
Flat 5, 53 Spenser Road, Bedford MK40 2BE
53 YEAR LEASE flat, last guided £60K, tenanted ~£750pcm claim. Unsold May, relisted 30-06, NOT in current FFA catalogue - may return 27-08 / 30-09 WATCH FFA CATALOGUES

Action Plan + Auction Diary

WhenWhatDetail
NOWSavills legal packGuttmann Rd (Lot 103) - auction 14-07, 6 days. Church Lees (Lot 41) only if watching it cheap
NOWCall Brown & MerryChequers Court: share-of-freehold or 50-yr leasehold? Flips the verdict
This weekR&H legal packs x3Lancaster Ave, Harrold, Hastoe Park (lease length!) - auction 05-08
14 JulSavills National (online)GUTTMANN = the bid (max £165K); Church Lees only if it goes ~£65-70K
15 JulUTH onlinePriory Heights (cladding - cash only, pack first)
28 JulBarnard Marcus, in-room 09:00Lenborough Rd, max £75K - confirm live + flat number first
End JulViewingsLancaster Ave open house (book with R&H); Harrold + Hastoe same trip
5 AugRobinson & Hall, Delta Marriott MK 12:00LANCASTER AVE (top pick, max £210K) + Harrold (max £135K) + Hastoe Park (pack first, max £105K)
27 AugFirst For AuctionsWatch for Spenser Rd Bedford relist (53yr lease)
2-29 SepSeptember waveSavills 02/15/29, AH London 02, B.Marcus 10, McHugh 16, Harman Healy 17, AHBB 23-09
Notes: MMoA lots (Connells/iamsold/T&C) = ~4.5% inc VAT reservation fee, min £6,600 + £349 pack - on a sub-£100K lot that is 7-9% extra and it counts toward SDLT. Pattinson stacks 5% deposit + up to 6% fee (~11%). Traditional auction fees are far kinder (R&H £1,500 admin, no premium). SDL merged into BTG Eddisons; W&H Peacock no residential. Guides move - confirm live status before bidding.

Estimated Mortgage Rates (April 2026 baseline - reconfirm with broker)

ProductRateNotes
75% LTV IO - 5yr fix (base case)4.50%Standard BTL post-works
75% LTV IO - 2yr fix4.75%
60% LTV IO - 5yr fix (lowest)3.85%
Bridging (pre-refi/short lease/EPC F)~0.85%/mo+ ~2% arrangement
Notes: Short-lease and unlettable (EPC F) purchases need cash/bridging until fixed, then refi - the 30A playbook. Typical lenders: TMW, Paragon, Precise, Landbay, Kent Reliance. Sub-30 sqm flats and above-commercial flats hit lender floor-area/security rules - assume cash-buyer exit pricing. Confirm rates with Lee Gibson / broker.

Full deep-dive 08-07-2026: 4 research agents, every live lot's listing + floor plan + photos analysed, ARVs size-adjusted vs recorded GBP/sqm comps, EPCs from the gov.uk register | Luton ruled out 08-07 per Ettan | Yields gross on guide unless marked net of SC | Claude for Ettan Bazil